time spreads

NVDA to the moon and beyond

Not very long ago NVDA was a $30 stock.  Now that the world has caught on to the many uses of GPU’s NVDA is a $190 stock.  Citron hated it at $100 and that was $90 ago.  With earnings coming up the MOMO crowd will not be able to let NVDA go so I think there is reasonable support for the name.  The question is if I can make some upside cheap enough.

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AMZN volatility is cheap

Seeing news reports on TWTR about AMZN using couriers to deliver packages gave me the UBER kind of feeling.  UBER is on its way to becoming one of the highest valued pre-IPO companies on the planet and it makes some sense AMZN is taking a page from its playbook.  That got me looking to AMZN volatility and it is very cheap.

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Cheapest volatility on the planet- TWTR that!

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Stocks regained from lows today after a near panic selloff in Chinese equities.  Prices here are down only fractionally as selling in China and the accompanying volatility is becoming habit as Beijing  tries to kill the speculation.  On the opposite side of the spectrum is TWTR.  Not a lot of speculating there.

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Another bite out of AAPL

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Apparently the Greece deal with the Troika is imminent.  That was enough to send VIX lower as it re-finds the 12 handle with the volatility futures hovering and not ready to make any major breaks today.  We might rename this Semi-Wednesday as traders bid up all sorts of semiconductor names on the BRCM takeover news.  I think there is a simpler trader out there.

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Will the AMZN rally hold?

AAPL just posted a big number and the stock is up $2 after rallying a couple of dollars today and many dollars for the week.  I guess it is the big number that you have to print that counts.  AMZN posted a giant revenue number last week but so far has been able to avoid accountability for actually ma

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NFLX has competition

We have another day like last week where the rally came from nowhere and is most likely not going to go anywhere.  It feels like the algo driven market catches any new piece of news about the FOMC release and it is off to the races.  The last 6 months has been about macro freight trains, collapse of the Euro, oil and commodity  prices with a rocketing dollar.  Greece isn’t even in the headlines anymore.  As day went most stocks were up and VIX softened a bit before the Wednesday’s release.

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So NFP was a big deal!

Surprise, surprise as stocks took a bit of a header today, on get this, a great jobs number.  Yes the number was too good and now interest rates look like they could go up after all.  The Euro and gold responded in kind by plunging to lows of 2015.  Bonds took out some lows for 2015 too. 

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Sticky VIX

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VIX is having bouts of self-doubt about halfway through the day the last couple of days.  The 13 handle is acting like kryptonite which repels all VIX declines.  The SPX is in such lofty territory that any pullback is taken as a sign of worry.

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