Russia

Is Russian aid a Trojan horse?

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We all know the story.  Troy is finally sacked by the gift of an enemy-impregnated horse the size of a house.  Browsing through the WSJ online I see an an Orthodox Priest blessing a fleet of aid trucks.  I half think there might be some Spetsnaz Commandos lying in wait in those bad boys.  With the gimpy stock market today I am not the only one.  I am all for Putin giving aid to the hungry but it is still tough to believe.

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Rattling the Sabers

I started trading options as a floor trader in 1991 right about the same time as Gulf War 1.  The runup to the war was characterized by gloom, volatility and really weak stock prices.  I think the Dow was 2300 or so.  Not much has changed in the 24 years since then through several other political crises and GW2.  The one constant has been after the USA goes in and starts shooting, stocks rally and the VIX cracks.  Until today that is, or maybe.

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Gamma sensitive options get pasted for now

It looked real ugly this morning toward noon.  From what I could tell there was enough decent news to push stocks higher pre-open and then the flood gates of selling opened, hitting the momentum stocks particularly hard.  The on again/off again saga of the Russians camping out in the Ukraine is putting the market into a tizzy.  A near term weak market gets downright ugly when the liquidity dries up after countries start shooting at each other.

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No Weekend decay today

Stocks made a little rally today on the good economic news in the morning.  Much of the early gains went away as the day wore on.  For what seems like the 5th time this week, the VIX cannot hold the lows of the day into the close.  As I write this, with 30 minutes to go today, the sub-14 VIX came and went with the slow deterioration of sentiment.

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