Besides a slight scare from the Speaker of the House today, the market rallied in fine style. It could not break out over 1422 on the SPX but most of the market did well. Volatility did come down a touch too as the short end of the market started to catch up with what the longer end of the volatility market has been doing. It looks like we are setting up for a rally to the end of the year as long as some sort of something comes out of Washington. We would have a nice Hollywood moment if the politicians got it together before Christmas. Wishful thinking anyway and I won’t bet too heavily on it.
Heading into earnings season, I thought it might be interesting to talk about how options work into earnings. In fact, one of the most misunderstood facets of options trading is earnings plays. There is a major misconception of how options behave into earnings. Most traders see a chart like this in RIMM and think the following:
Today was a day on Wall Street that was well, strange. There was a nice little rally in the NASDAQ as it teetered near even most of the day and ended with a little move up. For the most part the other indexes were lower including the VIX, as there was little good news to really lift things. I think, at this point, the markets are at the end of cheap credit. Negative interest rates for TIPS anyone? That is not the kind of thing markets want to see. There feels like there is some serious confusion as to what money managers will put money into. Does anyone really want to buy an Italian Bond yielding 3.5 after the bond holders are about to take a haircut for Greece? Governments need to start feeling the heat of higher interes