Option Pit Live

Is the TLT turning heads?

For every action there is an equal and opposite reaction, or something close to that, as Newton once said.  The action is that no one really wants to buy Spanish Bonds for 350 basis points above Treasuries.  Banks (without the ECB), hedge funds or MF Global (they all ready did that) are not ready to take the leap on more overleveraged countries again.  The reaction is that they are buying Treasuries. 

Take a look below at the levels we had just only a week and a half ago.   And a  month ago, the whole world was worried about runaway inflation.  Not so much today (and last week), as the TLT made new recent highs.

 

The VIX bought the rally today

 

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When the Time Spread Edge Can Look Too Good

When the Time Spread edge looks too good to be true....

 With the SPX closing flat today, I thought it would be interesting to identify other phenomena outside of the big indexes.  I did find the non-pull back today mildly bullish, and I think it has a hint of more upside to come (the Euro mess seems to be accepted now).  The ECB credit facility is providing the liquidity needed a la TARP, so they learned a lesson from the Fed in taking action.  The long term Euro budgetary solution remains to be seen, which will require, unfortnunately, more action. 

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