CL

KMB Option IV Is Sky High

The entire Consumer Cyclical sector is killing right now.  PG, CL, CLX and KMB are all at or near all-time high stock prices.  The industry is doing great as a whole; KMB in particular has had a great run higher.  Yet, something a little screwy is happening with Option IV in KMB.  Take a look at the 30 day IV from LiveVolPro of CL, CLX, KMB, and PG.  KMB is the green line:

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Livevol (R) www.livevol.com

Oil IV is Too Cheap

Bloomberg asked me to talk commodities today.  While not my strong point, I know enough about grains and oil to have a decent discussion with about anyone.  However, today was easy.  Here is why:

When I was on the train coming into work, I was thinking to myself that OVX and its sister CVF have both had a bit of a rally.  I was going to talk about how expensive options were getting in WTI and in USO.  Then I sat down and looked at the actual vols close up.  For starters, USO IV is not that high.  

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Livevol (r) www.livevol.com

A Breakdown of the new OIL VIX Contract

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I have to admit, there are very few traders that are as excited as me that the CBOE is relaunching options and futures on GVZ and OVX.  While I like VIX, I think it has some flaws to it that possibly make the product more difficult to use as a hedge:

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