For a few moments today VIX went backward and traders decided to worry about a tax plan, ECB rate hikes, FANG earnings and whatever else ails a screaming stock market all at once. I don’t see many backward to VIX cash markets at 13 VIX but we had one today. Usually VIX traders have a reason to let VIX cash fly.
Not so quietly GE has fallen from the low 30’s into the low 20’s with SPX and INDU making all-time highs. Massive asset sales could be on the block and the equally massive 4.4% TTM dividend could be on the block too. I think most of the weakness in GE is centered on those issues. Option Pit is giving a free credit spread webinar tonight so this is an inkling of that. And no GE will not be the topic.
Any down day in a week for the SPX that does not see many is significant for VIX. Not that VIX moves a ton yet but for what it sets up going forward. For VIX traders VIX should go up when SPX drops but this is really not a big move on a percentage basis for SPX. After all, the move was less than .50% for SPX but a full 1 point pop in VIX. Even in low vol the VIX cash moved seem a bit rosey.
With all the ’87 Crash reminiscing I figured it was time to reach into my nostalgia bucket and come up with IBM. The early 90s were mostly about the death of IBM and rise of MSFT in tech. I remember traders selling calls upon calls in IBM as it went into the dustbin for several years as the mainframe went the way of the Dodo. Seems over the last several years IBM has had the same issue as in the past with falling revenue while still being somewhat profitable. Wall Street hates that.