Blog

Where is GOOG?

CHECK OUT THE NEW GOLD COURSE! and our free webinar on May 7th "Why you need to take our Gold Course"

Somewhere, as the market kicks around the all-time highs, the tech stocks are recovering from the shellacking they took.  I don’t know if NFLX will see $400 this year or TSLA $255.  We do have volatility in the large indexes scraping the bottom of the barrel so the big tech selloff has subsided for now.

Blog Image: 

The Term Structure is starting to break

 CHECK OUT THE NEW GOLD COURSE!

The Fed surprised no one and is continuing to taper out of their bond buying program.  While the real benefit will be endlessly debated, stocks have had a hard time making a whole lot of headway since the reductions started in earnest in Jan 2014.  The 1-1.5% upside gaps seem to be a thing of the past unless stocks have come of a bottom.

Blog Image: 

UVXY trades at a low for the year

 CHECK OUT THE NEW GOLD COURSE!

Stocks have been making small gains over the last two days as the great tech sector rotation has moved from the new tech stocks back to the old tech stocks.  The high fliers in 2000 are starting to fly again and the Young Turks in social networks have taken it on the chin as they drop like Icarus from the sky.

Blog Image: 

No decay today

 CHECK OUT THE NEW GOLD COURSE!

AAPL pulled every trick in the book with good earnings, a stock split, and a buy back.  Toss in a dividend boost too for the long suffering shareholders who paid $700.  That was enough to send AAPL up $40  today.  With good news from AAPL and FB the SPY was up .40!  Not a rousing vote by the rest of the market and it had nothing to do with AAPL.

Blog Image: 

AAPL Says Take That Straddle Sellers

This is why we don't sell cheap straddles:  We noted yesterday that AAPL IV was at extremely low levels into its earnings announcment today.  Looking at a two year chart of AAPL 30 day IV one will notice this was the cheapest IV has been over that period of time.

Chart - AAPL - Apple Inc._window_screenshot.png

LivevolX (r) www.livevol.com

The weekly straddle that expires Friday went out at an insanely cheap 22.00 a pop.  For AAPL, where typically one might expect more like 30 and on the low end at LEAST a 5% move, priced in 22.00 is an outlier...as in amazingly cheap.

Blog Image: 

Will the AAPL IV ever stop declining?

CHECK OUT THE NEW GOLD COURSE!

 

There was another nice little rally today on the back of some decent earnings reports.  The tech end of the market has largely shrugged off the GOOG earnings and is looking forward to FB and MSFT.  Note how I did not mention AAPL.

Blog Image: 
Syndicate content