SPX Term Structure Is Getting out of Whack

While I am interested in talking about the metals again today, I think the more interesting place to look at volatility is in the SPX term strucuture.  As I have often said, anytime I see SPX front month fall more than 2% below SPX second month I begin to look for opportunities to put on short time spreads.  We are getting close:

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Looking at the a short ES 1355 time spread, the spread closed at 10.75.  If I could sell the spread at 11.00 or 11.25 in the next few days I think that would be a very favorable spread.  

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I would also note that while initially SPX IV fell today, today, IV actually started to tick up in the final few minutes.

Short one today because I am going to be speaking on the VIX in about an hour (6 EST), if you haven't registered email jill.malandrino@thestreet.com in the next 30 minutes.  Ill be back with a full long blog tomorrow.

 

Those interested in ETF's should be sure to check out my newest 4-Week webinar: 'Trading ETF's in a Volatile Market.'  The course if fully refundable if you open a new tradeMONSTER account, it also can be discounted for existing tradeMONSTER customers.  You can review the whole course along with all our upcming events here.

Do not forget, anniversary month is closing this week, if you are looking to be a Level 2 or 3 students, there will never be a better deal, dial (888) Trade-01 or email me mark@optionpit.com for more info.   On Thursday, I will be in Naples, FL LIVE, you can dial (888) Trade-01 for more info.

I will be speaking LIVE at the CBOE on May 7th.  The subject is Trading the VIX.  It will be a perfect follow up to my presentation on Wednesday.  This is perfect opportunity to support this blog by learning about a subject you probably care about anyway.  Register here:  VIX